Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -4 (79-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Long * | 39 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | -2.0 |
| Kasey Shepherd * | 35 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | -5.1 |
| Jay Wright * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Devonta Walker * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -12.3 |
| Brian Williams * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Johnathan Stove | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Bryce Washington | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | +15.8 |
| Xavian Rimmer | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Tiremone Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Hayward Register | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Steven Wronkoski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.3 |
| J.J. Davenport | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James White * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +10.0 |
| James Reid * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +13.2 |
| Ben Dillard * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Roger Woods * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -5.8 |
| J.T. Thomas * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Josh Hagins | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -1.0 |
| DeVonte Smith | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Mareik Isom | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Maurius Hill | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Gus Leeper | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -7.0 |
* = starter