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Central Arkansas Bears 73
@
Troy Trojans 85
2014-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 ✓ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% - ✓

Actual: Troy Trojans +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Martin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 8 2 0 3 7 15 -
Jordan Howard * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 21 27 -
Jake Zuilhof * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 3 16 23 -
Mathieu Kamba * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 5 3 5 -
Joel Fiegler * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Boo Milligan 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 15 19 -
Ethan Lee 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Thatch Unruh 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Albert Christensson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Bilbo * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 9 14 -
Kevin Thomas * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 2 3 22 34 -
Wesley Person * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 12 14 -
John Walton * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 3 5 -
Kelton Ford 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 9 -
Aaron Ariri 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter