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2015-01-04

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% +5.8 โœ“ (15.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 โœ“ (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +21 (86-65). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julian Jacobs * 34 5-7 0-2 1-2 7 5 1 0 4 11 13 -
Nikola Jovanovic * 24 7-12 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 14 8 -
Katin Reinhardt * 24 4-13 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 9 -3 -
Malik Marquetti * 22 1-3 0-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
Malik Martin * 17 3-7 0-1 0-1 6 0 1 2 3 6 5 -
Elijah Stewart 23 2-9 2-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 6 -1 -
Strahinja Gavrilovic 22 3-5 0-1 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Darion Clark 17 2-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Kahlil Dukes 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Devon Pflueger 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Askia Booker * 27 7-13 2-5 2-2 4 7 1 0 1 18 16 -
Jaron Hopkins * 25 3-6 0-1 3-4 3 3 4 0 2 9 11 -
Xavier Johnson * 25 7-10 1-2 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 17 12 -
Dustin Thomas * 24 5-7 3-3 4-4 2 2 3 0 0 17 17 -
Wesley Gordon * 24 2-3 0-0 2-2 9 3 0 2 1 6 16 -
Xavier Talton 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 2 3 -
Dominique Collier 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Tre'Shaun Fletcher 14 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
Tory Miller-Stewart 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 6 8 -
Eli Stalzer 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brett Brady 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Repine 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Geoffrey Bates 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter