Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +8 (64-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Steidl * | 37 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -9.0 |
| Trae Bell-Haynes * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Ethan O'Day * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -11.8 |
| Hector Harold * | 22 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12.0 |
| Dre Wills * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -14.3 |
| Brandon Hatton | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cam Ward | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Zach Mcroberts | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Pierson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Drew Urquhart | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -11.7 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McLaughlin * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +16.6 |
| Nikola Jovanovic * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +6.8 |
| Malik Marquetti * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | +12.3 |
| Darion Clark * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Elijah Stewart * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Katin Reinhardt | 25 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +9.2 |
| Julian Jacobs | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Strahinja Gavrilovic | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +7.7 |
| Malik Martin | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +10.0 |
| Chass Bryan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Kahlil Dukes | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.4 |
* = starter