Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +12 (76-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bryson * | 35 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 13 | -1.7 |
| Zalmico Harmon * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -10.1 |
| Alan Williams * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | -9.5 |
| Gabe Vincent * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -13.8 |
| Mitch Brewe * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Eric Childress | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2.6 |
| John Green | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -0.1 |
| Sam Beeler | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +4.9 |
| DaJuan Smith | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.2 |
| T.J. Taylor | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.1 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | +11.1 |
| Malcolm Duvivier * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +5.1 |
| Olaf Schaftenaar * | 38 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +14.9 |
| Langston Morris-Walker * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Daniel Gomis * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Jarmal Reid | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +8.7 |
| Victor Robbins | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +10.8 |
| Cheikh N'Diaye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.6 |
* = starter