Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.8% | 99.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.7% | 99.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +35 (74-39). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Mosley * | 37 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 13 | -16.7 |
| Tevin Hammond * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3 | -21.0 |
| JoVaughn Love * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -10.4 |
| Thaddeus Handley Jr. * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Ghiavonni Robinson * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.1 |
| Trent Whiting | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Devin Berry | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -24.3 |
| DeAndre McIntyre | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
| David Tillman | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +8.2 |
| Jaylon Floyd | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Jordan Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Larry Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.5 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasson Randle * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +18.3 |
| Stefan Nastic * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +22.2 |
| Anthony Brown * | 26 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +22.9 |
| Christian Sanders * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Reid Travis * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +15.4 |
| Rosco Allen | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Dorian Pickens | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Robert Cartwright | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Michael Humphrey | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -7.0 |
| Marcus Allen | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Grant Verhoeven | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Wade Morgan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
* = starter