Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (56-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Alford * | 39 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Norman Powell * | 37 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 2 | -9.7 |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +11.0 |
| Noah Allen | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Gyorgy Goloman | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Thomas Welsh | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kessens * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Levi Randolph * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +14.6 |
| Ricky Tarrant Jr. * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Rodney Cooper * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +8.9 |
| Jimmie Taylor * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -5.0 |
| Riley Norris | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2.7 |
| Shannon Hale | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Retin Obasohan | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Justin Coleman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.6 |
* = starter