Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Washington State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington State Cougars +7 (90-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 37 | 12-22 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 29 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Darius Graham * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Josh Fox | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Les | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Neal Monson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brynton Lemar | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
Washington State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hawkinson * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| DaVonte Lacy * | 30 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Nyaires Redding * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ike Iroegbu * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Junior Longrus * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Railey | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brett Boese | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Que Johnson | 19 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Trevor Dunbar | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dexter Kernich-Drew | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Cheatum | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter