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2014-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% -
Bradley-Terry 59.2% 40.8% -
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 82.0% 18.0% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -13 (74-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 37 3-9 1-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 9 4 -
B. Wesley * 31 7-8 2-2 4-6 9 4 0 2 1 20 26 -
K. Wiltjer * 30 9-13 3-5 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 24 16 -
P. Karnowski * 27 4-10 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 1 2 10 6 -
G. Bell Jr. * 25 2-2 2-2 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 9 11 -
K. Dranginis 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 5 1 0 3 5 10 -
D. Sabonis 21 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 10 12 -
S. Melson 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Alford * 39 7-14 5-10 4-4 2 3 3 0 1 23 16 -
I. Hamilton * 38 6-16 1-3 5-9 2 1 1 0 1 18 5 -
K. Looney * 36 6-10 1-2 1-3 8 4 2 0 3 14 15 -
N. Powell * 35 3-11 2-4 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 12 6 -
T. Parker * 25 2-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 3 2 3 5 11 -
T. Welsh 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 2 3 -
G. Goloman 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Allen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter