Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.0% | 12.0% | -11.0 | ✗ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Schimmel | 35 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Moore | 33 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Hammond | 31 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Carter | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Dyer | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Smith | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Henderson | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Vails | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Venson | 36 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| F. Randolph | 35 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 9-9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| S. Imovbioh | 34 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 27 | - |
| B. Mason | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Umeri | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Huland El | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Barnette | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Moses | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter