Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell | 37 | 4-18 | 2-11 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | - |
| E. Williams | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| A. Stevens | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Johnson | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Henson | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Riggs | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Mathias | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Cooper | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Spencer | 39 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| D. Wilson | 37 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 36 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| L. Brown-Hoskin | 32 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Nelson | 23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Schuhmacher | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter