Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -26 (45-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stevens | 34 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| E. Williams | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Johnson | 31 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 30 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| K. Cooper | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Henson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Riggs | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Mathias | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Frush | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Imovbioh | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Venson | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| B. Mason | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Huland El | 24 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| L. Moses | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| T. Suarez | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| F. Randolph | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Barnette | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Umeri | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter