Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 36 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Hammond | 28 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Carter | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Schimmel | 24 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B. Smith | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Henderson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Dyer | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| S. Vails | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Freeman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stevens | 37 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 36 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson | 35 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| E. Williams | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| O. Chidom | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. Cooper | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Henson | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Riggs | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Mathias | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter