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2015-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% -
Bradley-Terry 6.5% 93.5% -
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mason 38 5-13 0-1 1-3 2 1 0 0 3 11 -2 -
F. Randolph 37 11-22 1-7 1-1 5 3 0 0 1 24 9 -
M. Venson 36 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 -2 -
S. Imovbioh 31 5-10 0-0 1-3 15 0 1 2 2 11 17 -
S. Umeri 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
L. Moses 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 4 10 -
S. Barnette 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 -
A. Huland El 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
T. Suarez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Schimmel 37 2-10 0-3 1-3 4 3 1 0 1 5 2 -
S. Hammond 35 9-17 0-3 2-4 9 2 1 0 1 20 14 -
M. Moore 28 3-5 0-2 4-5 2 5 1 0 1 10 12 -
B. Smith 28 1-4 0-0 1-4 6 4 1 1 0 3 11 -
M. Hines-Allen 27 8-12 0-0 1-4 4 4 0 0 1 17 12 -
M. Deines 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Dyer 13 1-4 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
A. Carter 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Henderson 4 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Vails 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter