Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +51 (87-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Green | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| E. Ross | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| A. Nazario | 24 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| D. Smith | 21 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Brown | 20 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Carter | 17 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. McRae | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| K. Hailey | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Martin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Q. Story | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Gibson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stevens | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| E. Williams | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 25 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| O. Chidom | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| K. Johnson | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. Cooper | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | - |
| E. Mathias | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Riggs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Frush | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Henson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter