Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | +21.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +29.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +31 (83-52). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 35 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Stevens | 30 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Sierra Calhoun | 30 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| K. Johnson | 25 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Cooper | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Henson | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Oderah Chidom | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mercedes Riggs | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis | 36 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 35 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 33 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Morgan Tuck | 30 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Nurse | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tierney Lawlor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Briana Pulido | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter