Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Lowell River Hawks | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | +26.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +37.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +47 (95-48). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Samuels | 35 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 6 | - |
| J. McRoy | 29 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -14 | - |
| K. Gibbs | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Frase | 22 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Parra | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| L. Doucette | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Riddick | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Hayner | 15 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell-Owens | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Dunphy | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Rudolph | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Walton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell | 26 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| K. Johnson | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Oderah Chidom | 21 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A. Stevens | 20 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Riggs | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Cooper | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Henson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Mathias | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Frush | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter