Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morrison | 38 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| N. Fontaine | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Justice | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Bennett | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Hosea | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Monaco | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Merder | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Rembert | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Richardson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Simond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 33 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| J. Schimmel | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Smith | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Hammond | 23 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Dyer | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Carter | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Deines | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| S. Vails | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| E. Henderson | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Freeman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter