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Model Predictions

Model Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% - โœ—
Margin 37.8% 62.2% - โœ—
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—

Actual: Towson Tigers -1 (84-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Mustafaa Jones * 37 6-12 5-9 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 17 11 +5.5
Darian Anderson * 33 8-17 4-4 3-3 5 1 1 2 0 23 15 +5.6
Matt MacDonald * 32 1-6 0-3 1-2 0 3 4 0 0 3 4 +5.8
Earl Potts Jr. * 23 3-10 0-3 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 8 1 -1.0
Darius Stokes * 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 0 7 10 -6.0
Stephan Jiggetts 29 3-11 1-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 9 -1 +1.5
Marques Townes 19 7-13 0-1 4-8 5 2 5 0 0 18 17 +8.1
Malachi Nix 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 -1.1
Myles Mann 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.6
Scott Kingsley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.6

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Four McGlynn * 42 7-9 5-6 8-8 4 3 0 2 6 27 21 -3.6
Timajh Parker-Rivera * 31 5-7 0-0 5-8 6 0 2 2 3 15 15 +0.6
A.J. Astroth * 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -10.1
Byron Hawkins * 23 1-4 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 0 2 6 7 +2.7
Walter Foster * 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 4 8 10 +9.8
John Davis 33 6-11 0-0 3-6 9 1 0 0 3 15 11 -10.5
Eddie Keith II 29 1-3 0-0 4-6 5 2 0 2 3 6 9 -6.5
Alex Gavrilovic 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -14.7
Mike Morsell 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2.6
Josh Ivory 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -0.9

* = starter