Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. West * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-15 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 26 | - |
| E. Cooper Jr. * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| T. Criswell * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Perez * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Stivrins * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Fenner | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Coleman | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Rodriguez | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Missa | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| E. Foster | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Olesinski * | 35 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Hayden Graham * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Trevor Lyons * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Zach Kocur * | 18 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Justin Hammonds * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Max Yon | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Zach Moer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Manning | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter