Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Marks * | 39 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 16 | - |
| James Webb * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nick Duncan * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chandler Hutchison * | 19 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Robert Heyer | 29 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| David Wacker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvelle Harris * | 40 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Julien Lewis * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Paul Watson * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Cezar Guerrero * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Karachi Edo * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alex Davis | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Emmanuel Owootoah | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darnell Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter