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2015-02-04

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 6.2% 93.8% - ✓
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 5.4% 94.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 17.7% 82.3% - ✓

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaleel Williams * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 10 14 -
Rashad Muhammad * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 16 20 -
Isaac Thornton * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 14 18 -
Brandon Mitchell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 5 7 12 -
Darryl Gaynor * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 8 7 -
Ivo Basor 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 4 12 -
Ryan Singer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Danny Mahoney 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvelle Harris * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 6 3 1 2 11 28 -
Paul Watson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
Cezar Guerrero * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 3 0 1 14 27 -
Karachi Edo * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 12 18 -
Julien Lewis * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 6 0 2 11 18 -
Emmanuel Owootoah 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 7 13 -
Darnell Taylor 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
Terrell Carter 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
Jerrod Patton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter