Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +20 (87-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chip Armelin * | 32 | 10-16 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | -8.6 |
| Matt Bingaya * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Rasham Suarez * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +7.7 |
| Jeremiah Eason * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Davon Hayes * | 15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Keljin Blevins | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Kevin Holland | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Jamie Chapman | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Michael O'Donnell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -13.5 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarell Martin * | 32 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | -2.4 |
| Jordan Mickey * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -0.2 |
| Keith Hornsby * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Josh Gray * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +4.4 |
| John Odo * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Tim Quarterman | 33 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | +7.9 |
| Jalyn Patterson | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Brian Bridgewater | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +11.1 |
| Aaron Epps | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Elbert Robinson III | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Darcy Malone | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
* = starter