Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs +34 (69-35). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Smeathers * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -12.9 |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Chris Martin * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -13.9 |
| Junior Robinson * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Mawdo Sallah * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Khalid Nwandu | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Taylor Danaher | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -10.4 |
| B.K. Ashe | 20 | 1-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | -6.6 |
| Will Miller | 20 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | -8.5 |
| Chris Wray | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10.9 |
| Liam McManimon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Maalik Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Aaron Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Charles Glover | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bacote * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +16.3 |
| Javonte Douglas * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +10.9 |
| Richard Ross * | 24 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +25.1 |
| Trey Freeman * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +14.1 |
| Jonathan Arledge * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +8.9 |
| Ambrose Mosley | 18 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +10.8 |
| Deion Clark | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Keenan Palmore | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +6.3 |
| Denzell Taylor | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +7.6 |
| Nik Biberaj | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Joe Ebondo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Martin Shaw | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 |
* = starter