Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacred Heart Pioneers -6 (64-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Duren * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 22 | +4.0 |
| Jack Montague * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +11.2 |
| Justin Sears * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +8.8 |
| Matt Townsend * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Armani Cotton * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +9.2 |
| Makai Mason | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -13.1 |
| Anthony Dallier | 11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Sam Downey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
| Greg Kelley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Nick Victor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6.5 |
Sacred Heart Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Gaetano * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Evan Kelley * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +7.6 |
| De'von Barnett * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -8.7 |
| Cane Broome * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Tevin Falzon * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10.6 |
| Steve Glowiak | 27 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +7.8 |
| Jordan Allen | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | +15.4 |
| Filip Nowicki | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.8 |
* = starter