๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2015-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Howard * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 11 15 -
Tony Hicks * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 5 18 21 -
Darien Nelson-Henry * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 18 21 -
Darnell Foreman * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
Greg Louis * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 3 7 -
Antonio Woods 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
Mike Auger 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 7 14 -
Camryn Crocker 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
Sam Jones 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Dylan Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Matt Poplawski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Weisz * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 20 25 -
Hans Brase * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 4 9 16 -
Amir Bell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 9 13 -
Pete Miller * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
Steven Cook * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 2 5 -
Henry Caruso 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 23 29 -
Clay Wilson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Ben Hazel 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 7 10 -
Alec Brennan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter