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2015-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 78.3% 21.7% -
Margin 81.8% 18.2% -8.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Log Adjusted 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -7 (56-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bell * 34 4-8 1-2 3-5 6 4 1 0 0 12 15 -
S. Cook * 32 3-7 2-5 2-2 9 0 1 1 4 10 10 -
S. Weisz * 31 3-9 1-6 3-4 5 2 0 1 0 10 9 -
H. Brase * 20 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 2 4 4 1 -
H. Caruso * 13 0-1 0-1 5-8 3 2 0 0 2 5 7 -
C. Wilson 25 3-6 3-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
P. Miller 21 2-3 0-0 2-5 3 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
B. Hazel 19 2-3 1-2 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
D. Edwards 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Brennan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wright * 35 5-8 3-5 3-3 4 0 2 0 1 16 13 -
A. Mitola * 35 2-9 1-5 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 -1 -
G. Maldunas * 31 6-14 0-0 4-8 7 5 1 0 0 16 15 -
J. Golden * 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Boehm * 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 6 3 -
T. Carpenter 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
K. Crescenzi 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
W. Dickinson 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Gill 9 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 -
C. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Harrison 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter