Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Bryant Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bryant Bulldogs -17 (59-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Golden * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Alex Mitola * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +9.2 |
| Connor Boehm * | 29 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | -3.7 |
| Miles Wright * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +10.8 |
| Gabas Maldunas * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +10.9 |
| Tommy Carpenter | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +13.0 |
| Kevin Crescenzi | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Malik Gill | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | +16.3 |
| Wesley Dickinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Cole Harrison | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Cameron Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Taylor Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Ike Ngwudo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Alex Wolf | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyami Starks * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | -15.7 |
| Dan Garvin * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Shane McLaughlin * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -13.5 |
| Joe O'Shea * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -13.7 |
| Gus Riley * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Hunter Ware | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -12.5 |
| Zach Chionuma | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +2.6 |
| Andrew Scocca | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.5 |
| Blake McBride | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Bosko Kostur | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Curtis Oakley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
* = starter