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2015-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -13 (71-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mitola * 36 5-10 3-5 5-6 2 1 0 0 1 18 10 -
G. Maldunas * 29 5-9 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 4 12 5 -
C. Boehm * 27 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
J. Golden * 26 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 10 9 -
M. Wright * 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
M. Gill 21 3-4 1-1 7-7 3 6 1 0 3 14 17 -
T. Carpenter 18 4-6 0-0 2-4 7 3 0 1 1 10 14 -
K. Crescenzi 13 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
W. Dickinson 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
I. Ngwudo 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Harrison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Castlin * 31 4-12 1-3 9-12 9 6 1 0 1 18 21 -
C. McComber * 29 2-10 2-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 -3 -
M. Lo * 27 4-13 3-9 4-4 1 0 0 0 4 15 -1 -
C. Osetkowski * 25 3-3 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
S. Frankoski * 21 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
I. Cohen 27 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 3 2 1 0 6 12 -
J. Coby 14 2-5 1-2 3-5 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
N. Hickman 11 2-6 0-3 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
K. Jackson 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Springwater 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Voss 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Quinn 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter