Model Predictions
| Model | Rhode Island Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Garrett * | 37 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E.C. Matthews * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Hassan Martin * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jared Terrell * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Gilvydas Biruta * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Biggie Minnis | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jarelle Reischel | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Buchanan | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Earl Watson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Pollard * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Sibert * | 31 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter