Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VCU Rams -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoochie Smith * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Sibert * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treveon Graham * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Melvin Johnson * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Burgess * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Doug Brooks | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Terry Larrier | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarred Guest | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter