Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.0% | 14.0% | -10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -18 (58-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sibert * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Sengfelder * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Mandell Thomas * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Antwoine Anderson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Rhoomes * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Manny Suarez | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bryan Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nemanja Zarkovic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jon Severe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter