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2015-01-04

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Fordham Rams Spread Result
Elo 87.8% 12.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.7% 13.3% - โœ“
Margin 89.5% 10.5% -11.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.9% 7.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“

Actual: Fordham Rams -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Briante Weber * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 6 0 2 14 28 -
Treveon Graham * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 14 24 -
Mo Alie-Cox * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 1 0 8 20 -
Terry Larrier * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 8 9 -
Melvin Johnson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 9 11 -
Justin Tillman 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 9 -
JeQuan Lewis 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 5 6 -
Doug Brooks 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Jonathan Williams 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 5 6 -
Michael Gilmore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 -
Jarred Guest 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
Torey Burston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Sengfelder * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 3 6 14 -
Mandell Thomas * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 4 0 5 14 24 -
Ryan Rhoomes * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 4 13 -
Antwoine Anderson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 6 4 6 -
Jon Severe 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 1 5 9 10 -
Bryan Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 4 10 -
Nemanja Zarkovic 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Dekeba Battee-Aston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter