Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens -15 (55-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley LaChance * | 33 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | -1.3 |
| Damian Jones * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 5 | +9.4 |
| James Siakam * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -5.2 |
| Shelton Mitchell * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Jeff Roberson * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Wade Baldwin | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Matthew Fisher-Davis | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Luke Kornet | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Josh Henderson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -10.4 |
| Shelby Moats | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Carter Josephs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Yacoubou * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +10.7 |
| Austin McBroom * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Davell Roby * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.4 |
| John Manning * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Mike Crawford | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.3 |
| Reggie Agbeko | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Austin Gillmann | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -1.7 |
| Miles Reynolds | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Tanner Lancona | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -7.0 |
| Marcus Bartley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Brett Jolly | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.4 |
* = starter