Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | George Washington Revolutionaries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Washington Revolutionaries +20 (80-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Brown * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Trey Chapman * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -9.8 |
| Tim Marshall * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Jarid Watson * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Julian Eleby * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| QJ Peterson | 31 | 3-21 | 1-11 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -3 | +3.1 |
| Phillip Anglade | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Craig Hinton | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Christian Burton | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Jordan Weethee | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Fred Iruafemi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Armani Branch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
George Washington Revolutionaries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kethan Savage * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | +4.5 |
| Patricio Garino * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +4.2 |
| Joe McDonald * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | +13.1 |
| Kevin Larsen * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +0.3 |
| John Kopriva * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Yuta Watanabe | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -7.8 |
| Paul Jorgensen | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Darian Bryant | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.4 |
| Nick Griffin | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Matt Cimino | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Anthony Swan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Ryan McCoy | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.5 |
* = starter