Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland State Vikings | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +9 (72-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lee * | 38 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Trey Lewis * | 37 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Anton Grady * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marlin Mason * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Andre Yates * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vinny Zollo | 24 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Scales | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Carpenter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Terrell Hales | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Derek Sloan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treveon Graham * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Briante Weber * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Burgess * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Melvin Johnson * | 19 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Terry Larrier | 20 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Doug Brooks | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jarred Guest | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter