Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Scott * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Sibert * | 30 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bass | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Kendall Pollard | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Qualls * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jabril Durham * | 25 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Anthlon Bell * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jacorey Williams * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rashad Madden | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Alandise Harris | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Manuale Watkins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Moses Kingsley | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Anton Beard | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nick Weiler-Babb | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keaton Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter