Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +2 (55-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Caruso * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Kourtney Roberson * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Green * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Peyton Allen * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Davonte Fitzgerald | 22 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Antwan Space | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alex Robinson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tavario Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Davis * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Devon Scott * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Sibert * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Kendall Pollard | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter