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2015-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Spread Result
Elo 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Margin 63.6% 36.4% -3.1 โœ“ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trelun Banks * 36 3-7 2-4 4-4 1 4 1 0 2 12 9 -
Adrian Rodgers * 32 3-9 0-3 2-2 9 3 3 1 4 8 11 -
Keith Davis * 24 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 8 5 -
Jared Sam * 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 2 2 7 -
Christopher Hyder * 19 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 5 2 -
Tre Lynch 27 7-14 3-7 5-5 10 0 0 0 2 22 16 -
Joell Hopkins 24 5-10 0-0 2-3 5 0 3 0 1 12 9 -
Cameron Monroe 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -
Elex Carter 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
Chris Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Harrel 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tevin Hammond * 38 3-10 2-4 6-8 3 3 4 0 4 14 10 -
Ghiavonni Robinson * 28 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 4 4 -1 -
DeAndre McIntyre * 27 1-5 1-2 2-5 3 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
Devin Berry * 25 4-7 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 1 1 12 7 -
Thaddeus Handley * 22 4-9 3-5 2-6 6 1 2 1 1 13 13 -
Jovaughn Love 15 1-10 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -10 -
Jordan Brown 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Chauncy Parker 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Trent Whiting 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Larry Johnson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Austin Cox 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
David Tillman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaylon Floyd 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter