Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +14 (71-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'lun Banks * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Christopher Hyder * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Rodgers * | 24 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jared Sam * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Frank Snow * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tre Lynch | 23 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Keith Davis | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joell Hopkins | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Monroe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Bobbitt * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Valdes * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Michael Thomas * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Nevels * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Negus Webster-Chan * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Fleming | 19 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Stefan Jovanovic | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Quincy Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Jawato | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Niko Filipovich | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dyrbe Enos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter