Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Green Bay Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +4 (54-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarke Rosenberg | 29 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Johnny Griffin Jr. | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +13.2 |
| Trayvon Palmer | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +12.0 |
| Anthony Glover | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Sean Hill | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Quron Davis | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -10.5 |
| Rahjan Muhammad | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | +1.0 |
| Montana Byrd | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Jared Dimakos | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.6 |
| Kurt Karis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Michael Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.5 |
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keifer Sykes | 37 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Carrington Love | 36 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Jordan Fouse | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -13.9 |
| Kenneth Lowe | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11.7 |
| Daeshon Francis | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Tevin Findlay | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Henry Uwadiae | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Turner Botz | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Greg Mays | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
* = starter