Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +9 (76-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Ritchart * | 34 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +1.8 |
| Corey Hawkins * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Avery Johnson * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Darius Graham * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7.4 |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Tyler Les | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Josh Fox | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Brynton Lemar | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.9 |
| Neal Monson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.6 |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Umipig * | 39 | 11-21 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 23 | +13.2 |
| Jarell Flora * | 37 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +3.0 |
| William Powell * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | +0.2 |
| Jack Crook * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Jadon Cohee * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Emerson Murray | 29 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Theo Turner | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Shore Adenekan | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Emmanuel Chibuogwu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter