Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +2 (54-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madarious Gibbs * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Malcolm Riley * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Deverell Biggs * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Chris Thomas * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Nick Shepherd * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.2 |
| David Blanks | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Jason Carter | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Tonnie Collier | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
| Nevin Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathon Wilkins * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | +3.6 |
| Remi Barry * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Ian Baker * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | -2.4 |
| DK Eldridge * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Jalyn Pennie | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -9.5 |
| Travon Landry | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Braxton Huggins | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Matt Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter