Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +6 (78-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janari Joesaar * | 38 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +5.0 |
| Shaquille Boga * | 37 | 3-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Shaquille Hines * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | +10.2 |
| Dan Kimasa * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Moe McDonald * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Isaiah Hobbs | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Andreas Bigum | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Elijah Watson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Everett Osborne | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4.0 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Colter * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -7.2 |
| Jeremiah Jones * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -11.0 |
| Dominique McKoy * | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -6.1 |
| Micah Mason * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -14.8 |
| Darius Lewis * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -5.4 |
| Jordan Stevens | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | +10.8 |
| TySean Powell | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -5.6 |
| L.G. Gill | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Eric James | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
* = starter