Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes -13 (59-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siyani Chambers * | 39 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | +9.0 |
| Wesley Saunders * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +12.6 |
| Steve Moundou-Missi * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Agunwa Okolie * | 28 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Kenyatta Smith * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +6.6 |
| Corbin Miller | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Evan Cummins | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Jonah Travis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Zena Edosomwan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Matt Fraschilla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2.3 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWayne Russell * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -7.2 |
| Joshua Braun * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | -8.5 |
| Royce Woolridge * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -16.4 |
| Jerome Garrison * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -10.0 |
| Kerwin Smith * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -13.1 |
| Daniel Alexander | 29 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +5.8 |
| De'Andre Davis | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +11.6 |
| Sam Daly | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +10.1 |
| Ryan Majerle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Matt Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Miroslav Jaksic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter