Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Smith * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Dembley * | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Kemrite * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A.C. Reid | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Peter Moller | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ethan Layer | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Evan Maxwell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Calvin Hoffman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Moore * | 36 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Andre Smith * | 34 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Keon Johnson * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Cooks * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Tevin Prescott * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Duby Okeke | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Henry | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Josh Davenport | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Joseph Lopez | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter