Model Predictions
| Model | Campbell Fighting Camels | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +9 (65-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Campbell Fighting Camels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ryan * | 36 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -13.6 |
| Kyre' Hamer * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -13.5 |
| Quinton Ray * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Rod Days * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Reco McCarter * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4.1 |
| D.J. Mason | 33 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -2.8 |
| Troy Harper | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-16 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | -8.2 |
| Curtis Phillips Jr. | 17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -10.6 |
| Nehemiah Mabson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Luke Moyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.5 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hood * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Christen Cunningham * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9.4 |
| Darius Jones-Gibson * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Nnamdi Enechionyia * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +11.1 |
| Alex Peters * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Michael Bradley | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Evan Taylor | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Marcus Johnson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Jamal Shabazz | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +9.3 |
| Brandon Roberts | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Brandon Hayman | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -1.3 |
* = starter