Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +4 (78-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler White * | 35 | 4-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Chad Jackson * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -1.9 |
| Tayler Persons * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | -5.3 |
| Deontae Cole * | 23 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Cole Murray * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Jalen Billups | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | -6.6 |
| Jordan Jackson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Todd Johnson | 12 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Anthony Monaco | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Dean Danos | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Keene * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Bobby Hain * | 38 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 28 | +13.0 |
| DJ Cole * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Shawn Amiker * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Osandai Vaughn * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shaun Stewart | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Sidney Umude | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Cameron Morse | 9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Fletcher Larson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
* = starter