Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +5 (65-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Nesbitt * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -11.0 |
| Dallas Moore * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Chris Davenport * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | -8.3 |
| Beau Beech * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Romelo Banks * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -21.7 |
| Demarcus Daniels | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +9.4 |
| Trent Mackey | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Devin Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Horton * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24 | +16.4 |
| Ed Dyson * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +5.5 |
| Chris Freeman * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Khalil Davis * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Jeremy Purvis * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Robinson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +10.6 |
| Zavion Williams | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +11.5 |
| Tre' Ivory | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.5 |
| Assane Diop | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.8 |
| Serigne Mboup | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -7.6 |
* = starter