Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -18 (50-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Poole * | 37 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Marquan Botley * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +12.7 |
| Kelvin Penn * | 32 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Jackson Trapp * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +5.4 |
| C.J. Turman * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +10.0 |
| Javier Lacunza | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Justin Massey | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +7.0 |
| Brian Hornstein | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.8 |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kori Babineaux * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | -8.5 |
| Andris Misters * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -7.8 |
| Antwon Clayton * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | +0.5 |
| BJ Edwards * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -16.8 |
| Tim Gill * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3.9 |
| J.R. Holder | 32 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -12.0 |
| Marcel White | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Omar El Manasterly | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11.2 |
| Josh Adeyeye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.8 |
* = starter